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Phoenix Picks

Checker O'Reilly Auto Parts 500
Sunday November 9, 2008
Starting Time: 3:45 est.

My PayTheFan.com Picks for Phoenix

Group A: Dale Earnhardt Jr. #88
Started: 5
Group B: Mark Martin #8
Started: 10
Group B:Jamie McMurray #26
Started: 2
Group C:A.J. Allmendinger #84
Started: 13

I didn't have Kevin Harvick left on my PayTheFan.com picks but I think he will be very good today. If nothing else, his confidence from his win in the Craftsman Truck Series race and his 3rd place finish in the Nationwide Series races should help him today. Look for Bowyer to be strong along with some of the other Chase drivers like Johnson, Gordon, Edwards, and Hamlin.

Mark Martin, as always, will be strong especially after leading in the spring race here at Phoenix. If I remember correctly, he either ran out of fuel or had to pit for fuel and Jimmy Johnson won without stopping. Johnson did have a fast car that night as well.

The 26 has been running real good lately and I look for him to run good again today.

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Atlanta Race Picks

There are a lot of drivers that love Atlanta Motor Speedway. The cars can spread out and the drivers can find the groove that they like and that their car likes. It is a great mix of fine tuning the car and working on your line all day. Track position is always important but if your car has the ability to run a different line than the guy in front of you, you can make some passes. Basically, you race the race track all day and put yourself in position to have a good finish.

I have to believe that all of the Roush Fenway cars will be the best cars today. Jeff Gordon and Jimmy Johnson will again be strong, as usual. During practice yesterday I also thought that Stewart looked good along with his Gibbs teammate Kyle Busch. I don't feel like there will be too many surprises at the front of the field, but if there are a few that I would keep my eye on: Kurt Busch and Kasey Kahne.

My www.PayTheFan.com picks for today are as follows:
A Carl Edwards
B David Ragan
B Michael Waltrip
C AJ Almendinger

General Top 5 Picks:
1. Carl Edwards
2. Jeff Gordon
3. Greg Biffle
4. Tony Stewart
5. Kurt Busch

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Martinsville Speedway Picks

For the past several weeks I have been able to post my picks for the Sprint Cup Series races. It is tough to pick the top five every week but with Martinsville up today, only one thought enters my mind: Hendrick Motorsports. Jeff Gordon and Jimmy Johnson will again be at the top. I think in that order. Gordon looked the best in practice and Johnson was right there with him so I think they will continue the Hendrick dominance at Martinsville Speedway.

No one is far off on the stopwatch but track position and pitting sequence will determine so much more about finishing positions than speed. It is hard to pass, even if you are a faster car. Emotions run high as fenders bang together. Drivers get mad and impatience runs rampant. With qualifying rained out yet again the best pit road selections were taken by the teams at the top. This will make it tough to gain points on Johnson.

Martinsville Speedway top 5 picks
1. Jeff Gordon
2. Jimmy Johnson
3. Jeff Burton
4. Dale Earnhardt Jr
5. David Ragan

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Lowes Motor Speedway Pick

Lowes Motor Speedway is a tough track. It is narrow and very fast. They go the same speeds at a lot of other tracks but since Lowes Motor Speedway is more narrow where you catch someone to pass them makes a huge difference. It has been interesting to see some of the cars work on the top groove on the Charlotte track. Some guys make that work and some just cannot get their cars to work up there.

Hopefully we don't have a replay of last night's Nationwide race. There were a lot of running into each other last night. The drivers I think will have the best chance to win will be on most people's lists for this event. Every race takes a perfect night but Lowes is going to demand the same. Pit stops will have to be great and when you get track position you will have to either be able to maintain it in order to keep gaining a few spots all night.

I am glad we have last night behind us. It was a long night with the rain delays and the crashes.

Last week will not have much to do with how drivers finish tonight but when you add in the controversy of the finish it was an exciting Talladega ending. Regan Smith, win or lose, put himself on many more people's radar. Hopefully, the most popular 18th place finish in history will help him land a sponsor and ride for 2009.

My picks for Lowes Motor Speedway:

PayTheFan.com Picks

A. Denny Hamlin
B. Juan Pablo Montoya
B. Kasey Kahne
C. Bill Elliot

Top 5 Other Picks

1. Jimmy Johnson
2. Greg Biffle
3. Jeff Burton
4. Denny Hamlin
5. Clint Bowyer

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Talladega Picks

Everyone that has ever been to a race at Talladega knows just how enormous the track is. Most of the drivers show up knowing they must survive until the final 15 laps, stay with the draft, and miss the "big one."

As a spotter this is one place that getting as much practice as possible always helps. I was fortunate to have an ARCA ReMax Series car and a Craftsman Truck Series truck to spot for this weekend leading up to the Sprint Cup race on Sunday. Friday's ARCA race was a short day as the #7 team was involved in the first caution of the day around lap 14. AJ was not able to return to the race after being involved in the accident. For the truck race I was spotting for Dennis Setzer. He has a lot of experience and because of that, he made the day much easier for me and his team. Setzer finished 13th in what I thought was a solid day. I am look forward to today's race with Scott Riggs. He is driving the Hunt Brothers Pizza Chevrolet. Visit www.FreeGasFreePizza.com to learn more about Hunt Brothers Pizza.

There was an accident in Friday's Sprint Cup practice involving 4 to 6 cars. Dale Jr. had a tire failure and collected some other cars when he spun. A few of them are in back up cars and a few of the teams were able to fix their primary cars. I don't see that being a factor today. All of these teams treat their back up cars just like their primary cars.

It is always hard to pick winners or the top five for any race but Talladega Superspeedway has to be the toughest. All of the cars will be stuck together all day drafting lap after lap until the final 10 to 20 laps. I still think the drivers that make it to the front at the end of the day will be similar to any other Sprint Cup event. Every now and then you will have a surprise finisher in the top five or if the "big one" happens then the out come will be different.

The guys I picked today for my www.PayTheFan.com picks look something like this:
1. Jeff Gordon
2. Ryan Newman
3. Brian Vickers
4. Mike Skinner

Obviously there are others that have good enough cars.

A few others include:

1. Jimmy Johnson
2. Greg Biffle
3. Dale Earnhardt Jr.

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